Executive Summary:
- The Greens continue showing solid movement and pricing, while reds and blacks are beginning to show some age. Promotional activity remains higher and cheaper than last season. Next week will be decisive in determining whether last year’s record promotional levels can be sustained through the coming month.
- Supply continues at a steady pace, with no significant shipment spikes over the past five weeks. Combined shipments over the last five weeks to the US remain meaningfully below last season’s levels.
- Peru remains concentrated in greens. Chile’s offer has been more balanced, though Chilean Black Seedless shipments have notably exceeded Peru’s over the last two weeks. Peruvian Red Globe volumes are beginning to decline as Chile prepares to ramp up.
- Peru is nearing completion with 93% of its crop exported, while Chile has shipped only 15% of its expected total, signaling the transition phase between origins.
Market Dynamics:
- Pricing: The Greens remain stable week-over-week. Reds are seeing deal opportunities on fruit with age or quality challenges. Black Seedless continues a lower price trend, as pressure continues.
| Region | Color | Lower-End Price | Higher-End Price | Dominant Variety |
| PE/CH | Greens | $34.00 | $44.00 | Autumn Crisp |
| PE/CH | Greens | $26.00 | $30.00 | Sweet Globe |
| PE/CH | Greens | $24.00 | $28.00 | Timpson, Ivory and Others |
| PE/CH | Reds | $26.00 | $32.00 | Jack’s Salute , Sweet Celebration |
| PE/CH | Reds | $20.00 | $26.00 | Allison, Timco and others |
| PE/CH | Blacks | $18.00 | $26.00 | Sweet Favors, Inia 1, Midnight Beauty |
- Promotional Activity: 16,711 stores promoting grapes this week, +27.3% vs last week (13,132) and +33.5% vs last season for the same week (12,523). Average price is $2.63, down from $2.89 last week and $2.90 last year for the same week.
Supply Overview: Global Origins:
- Volume Shipped to all Markets + the US – Last 5 Weeks
- Volume Shipped to the US by Coast – Last 5 Weeks
- Volume Shipped to the US by Color – Last 5 Weeks
- Exported progress vs Forecast Balance
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About the Author
K
Keith Loria
A graduate of the University of Miami, Keith Loria is a D.C.-based award-winning journalist who has been writing for major publications for more than 20 years on topics as diverse as healthcare, travel, sports and produce.
